Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...? — June 30

82% chance

Yes82%

Buy Yes83¢no fee

No18%

Buy No19¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $12.4K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $6.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes82%—83¢

83¢no fee

No18%—19¢

19¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 83¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

On October 26, 2026, OpenAI announced that its AI system "proved that the ETH is false, a result that was subsequently verified in Lean." (see: https://openai.com/index/building-scientific-understanding-with-academic-communities/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a disproof of the Exponential Time Hypothesis is confirmed through at least one of the qualifying confirmation methods listed below by the specified da…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027