Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...? — December 31

74% chance

Yes74%

Buy Yes75¢no fee

No26%

Buy No27¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $29.1K
24h: $869
Liquidity: $1.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes74%—75¢

75¢no fee

No26%—27¢

27¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 75¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

On October 26, 2026, OpenAI announced that its AI system "proved that the ETH is false, a result that was subsequently verified in Lean." (see: https://openai.com/index/building-scientific-understanding-with-academic-communities/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a disproof of the Exponential Time Hypothesis is confirmed through at least one of the qualifying confirmation methods listed below by the specified da…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026