CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

    Eric Jones leads by 98 pts

    1. Eric Jones#199%
    2. Mike Thompson#21%
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $349.7K
    24h
    $11.1K
    Liquidity
    $27.0K
    Candidates
    2
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Eric Jones99%
    • Mike Thompson1%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Mike Thompson24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Eric Jones$191.4K vol99%▲ 2kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Mike Thompson$158.4K vol1%▼ 5kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Eric Jones wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official res…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    CA-04 House Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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