CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) — Eric Jones

99% chance · up 2 pts today

Yes99%▲ 2

Buy Yes99¢100¢ after fees

No1%▼ 2

Buy No2¢3¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 4, 2026
Volume: $191.4K
24h: $2.0K
Liquidity: $12.4K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes99%▲ 299¢99¢

99¢100¢ after fees

No2%▼ 22¢3¢

2¢3¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0.04¢/contract

Kalshiat 99¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Eric Jones wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official res…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

CA-04 House Election Winner

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
Resolves: Wed, November 4, 2026