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    US-Iran nuclear deal?

    Resolves Jan 20, 2029
    Total Volume

    $3.5M

    +$31.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    76¢

    Before Jan 20, 2029

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Before 2028

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #24H
    1
    Before Jan 20, 2029
    		76¢77¢
    $29.9K+$350 24h
    		+1¢—
    2
    Before 2028
    		69¢70¢
    $20.4K+$455 24h
    		-4¢—
    3
    Before 2027
    		51¢51¢
    $755.8K+$7.8K 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    Before September
    		36¢37¢
    $147.3K+$3.9K 24h
    		——
    5
    Before August
    		30¢30¢
    $736.0K+$2.1K 24h
    		-1¢—
    6
    Before July
    		21¢21¢
    $402.6K+$8.8K 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    Before June
    		5¢5¢
    $1.4M+$8.2K 24h
    		-3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Jan 20, 2029
    76%
    76¢+1¢
    2Before 2028
    69%
    69¢-4¢
    3Before 2027
    51%
    51¢-1¢
    4Before September
    36%
    36¢—
    5Before August
    30%
    30¢-1¢
    6Before July
    21%
    21¢-2¢
    7Before June
    5¢-3¢

    Price History

    Before Jan 20, 2029Before 2028Before 2027Before September
    May 9 17:47May 10 20:41May 11 23:54May 13 05:54May 14 07:33May 15 19:5413.7%33.7%53.7%89.3%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    What to know about potential US-Iran agreement - ABC News

    1 minABC News
    Politics

    US and Iran closing in on agreement aimed at ending war, source says | CNN Politics

    1 minNic Robertson, Alayna Treene, Kevin Liptak
    Politics

    What’s the Status of U.S.-Iran War and Peace Talks?

    1 minMiranda Jeyaretnam
    Politics

    Trump says war will be 'over quickly' as Iran considers 14-point US proposal

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    US and Iran close to nuclear deal, Trump says

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump says Iran talks may resume this week, but opposes enrichment compromise - The Washington Post

    1 minKaren DeYoung
    Politics

    Iran-U.S. peace talks deadlocked after Trump rejects ‘totally unacceptable’ proposal

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump says US is ‘very close’ to a nuclear deal after Iran ‘agreed’ to its terms | CNN

    1 minBetsy Klein, Nadeen Ebrahim

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 20, 2029

    ~981 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $3.5M

    Whale Activity

    Loading...

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 8.7% in 24h

      Before July · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 34.6% in 24h

      Before June · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 33.3% in 24h

      Before June · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 8.7% in 24h

      Before July · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 5:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 32.1% in 24h

      Before June · Kalshi