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    US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.4M

    +$18.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    1

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    62¢

    US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    1 markets · Showing 1
    #24H
    1
    US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
    		62¢62¢
    $1.4M+$18.3K 24h
    		-4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
    62%
    62¢-4¢

    Price History

    US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
    May 13 10:00May 14 13:00May 15 17:00May 16 20:00May 17 23:00May 19 08:2547.5%53.5%59.5%65.5%71.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Kalshi traders see odds rising that a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal ... - CNBC

    1 minDavis Giangiulio
    Politics

    What to know about potential US-Iran agreement - ABC News

    1 minABC News
    Politics

    US and Iran closing in on agreement aimed at ending war, source says | CNN Politics

    1 minNic Robertson, Alayna Treene, Kevin Liptak
    Politics

    Trump's hopes for an Iran peace deal come with caveats

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    US-Iran Peace Deal May Take Six Months, Gulf and European Officials Say - Bloomberg

    1 minAlberto Nardelli
    Politics

    Trump says war will be 'over quickly' as Iran considers 14-point US proposal

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Twenty years enough for Iran nuclear suspension, says Trump - BBC News

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Trump says Iran talks may resume this week, but opposes enrichment compromise - The Washington Post

    1 minKaren DeYoung

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~226 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    1
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.4M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.1% in 24h

      US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.1% in 24h

      US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 6:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.1% in 24h

      US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 5:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.1% in 24h

      US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 18, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 13.8% in 24h

      US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Polymarket