When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? Live odds across 4 markets: Before 2040 at 68¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2040. Not financial advice.
Resolves Jan 1, 2040
- Before 2030: Yes 47¢ (kalshi)
- Before 2035: Yes 57¢ (kalshi)
- Before 2040: Yes 68¢ (kalshi)
- Before 2027: Yes 7¢ (kalshi)
LIVE
8sWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Resolves Jan 1, 2040
Total Volume
$31.6K
+$1.1K (24h)
Active Markets
4
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
65¢
Before 2040
Biggest Mover 24h
-5¢
Before 2030
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65¢ | 68¢ | $1.3K | -3¢ | — | |
| 2 | 54¢ | 57¢ | $5.9K | -3¢ | — | |
| 3 | 43¢ | 47¢ | $10.6K+$1.1K 24h | -5¢ | — | |
| 4 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $13.8K | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
Whale Activity
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