when first useful quantum computer developed
Before 2030
when first useful quantum computer developed. Best Yes near 47¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 47¢ · Best No: 62¢ · 1 platform
- Kalshi: Yes 47¢ / No 62¢
LIVE
Before 2030
Volume
$10.6K
$1.1K 24h
Platforms
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolution
Resolves Jan 1, 2030
~1295 days left
Category
Culture
Yes
47¢
Kalshi
No
62¢
Kalshi
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
1 platform
Price History
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About This Market
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2030
Time Left1295 days
Status● Active
CategoryCulture
Yes
47¢
Kalshi
Payout 2.1x
No
62¢
Kalshi
Payout 1.6x
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
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