when first useful quantum computer developed

    Before 2027

    when first useful quantum computer developed. Best Yes near 7¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 7¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 1 platform

    • Kalshi: Yes 7¢ / No 94¢

    Before 2027

    Volume

    $13.8K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    ~199 days left

    Category

    Culture

    CHANCE OF YES7%93%
    Yes
    Kalshi
    No
    94¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    KalshiKalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    7¢
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $13.8K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~0.44¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2027
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

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