Prediction Market Bills in Congress: 2026 Tracker
13 bills are currently pending that could expand, restrict, or fundamentally reshape the legal framework for prediction markets. Here's where each stands — and what markets say about the odds.
Bills tracked
13
House / Senate
6/7
Pro-market
0
Restrictive
9
Tracker Snapshot
Verification status and bill coverage at a glance
All bill data requires verification against live congress.gov entries. Bill numbers marked TBD need official congress.gov numbers. Market tickers are null until Kalshi/Polymarket markets are matched and verified.
Bill Status Table
Filter the House and Senate proposals moving the category
Bills and market-implied odds
What This Legislation Would Actually Change
Three bill categories, three very different outcomes for traders and platforms
Three categories of bills, three different outcomes if passed.
Pro-Market Bills
These bills would explicitly legalize event contracts at the federal level — potentially ending the state-vs-CFTC litigation by clarifying that CFTC jurisdiction preempts state gaming law. If passed: Nevada, Massachusetts, Utah, and Illinois lawsuits likely become moot. Platforms would operate under a clear federal framework nationwide.
Restrictive Bills
These bills would ban or heavily restrict specific categories of event contracts — sports, elections, government actions, war, and assassination. If any passed: Platforms like Kalshi would need to remove targeted market categories and refund open positions in those categories. Political and economic contracts would generally remain unaffected.
Regulatory Bills
These bills add new oversight requirements — insider trading restrictions, mandatory disclosures, position limits — without explicitly legalizing or banning prediction markets broadly. Effect: increased compliance cost for platforms and restrictions on government officials; unlikely to change regular user access directly. Some have bipartisan support.
Open CFTC Comment Periods
Where lawmakers, regulators, and the public can still influence the rulebook
No CFTC comment periods currently open for prediction market bill rulemakings.
When a related CFTC rulemaking opens a public comment period, we'll list it here with a direct link and the comment deadline. Visit CFTC.gov/comments ↗ to check directly.
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