Beta
    LIVE

    Xavier Bertrand

    Volume

    $4.4M

    $23.6K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    ~569 days left

    Category

    Politics

    1¢CHANCE OF YES1%99%
    Yes
    1¢
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $4.4M
    $23.6K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $3
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Jun 4 16:00Jun 5 18:00Jun 6 20:00Jun 7 22:00Jun 9 00:00Jun 10 03:00Jun 11 10:550¢2¢4¢6¢

    About This Market

    If Xavier Bertrand wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 1¢: exit costs ~0.06¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2027
    Time Left569 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Présidentielle 2027 : Xavier Bertrand a « l'intention d'être candidat »

    1 minClément Marna
    Politics

    Présidentielle 2027: Xavier Bertrand se "prépare" et veut éviter "les erreurs du passé"

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    OPINION: France's traditional conservatives will not stop the Far Right in 2027

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Bruno Retailleau announces 2027 presidential bid with focus on immigration

    1 minZane Lilley
    Politics

    Xavier Bertrand se déclare candidat à l’élection présidentielle de 2027

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Next French Presidential Election — Prediction Markets | FRC

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    French poll sees far-right Bardella winning, far-left Mélenchon surging in 2027 election – POLITICO

    1 minUnknown

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