Next French Presidential Election

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    Resolves May 30, 2028

    Next French Presidential Election

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    Resolves May 30, 2028
    Total Volume

    $100.7M

    +$638.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    37

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    Jordan Bardella

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Jordan Bardella

    Arb Opportunities

    1

    Best gross: 4¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    37 markets · Showing 8
    #
    127¢26¢33¢
    $1.2M+$12.0K 24h
    -1¢
    4¢🔥
    221¢21¢23¢
    $954.4K+$1.5K 24h
    -1¢
    313¢13¢10¢
    $735.8K+$2.8K 24h
    2¢
    4
    $828.2K+$10.5K 24h
    5
    $1.6M+$13.6K 24h
    6
    $1.4M+$12.6K 24h
    7
    $1.2M+$2.5K 24h
    8
    $1.4M+$6.2K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Jordan Bardella
    27%
    27¢-1¢
    2Édouard Philippe
    21%
    21¢-1¢
    3Jean-Luc Mélenchon
    13%
    13¢
    4Marine Le Pen
    5Gabriel Attal
    6Dominique de Villepin
    7François Hollande
    8David Lisnard
    9Bruno Retailleau
    10Sarah Knafo
    11Éric Zemmour
    12Gérald Darmanin
    13Michel Barnier
    14Laurent Wauquiez
    15Sébastien Lecornu
    16Bernard Cazeneuve
    17Mathilde Panot
    18Manuel Bompard
    19François Bayrou
    20Carole Delga
    21Valérie Pécresse
    22Élisabeth Borne
    23François Ruffin
    24Olivier Faure
    25Yaël Braun-Pivet
    26Xavier Bertrand
    27Jean Castex

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~May 30, 2028

    ~715 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    37
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $100.7M
    Arb Opportunities
    1

    Whale Activity

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