Next French president?

    Who will win the next French presidential election?

    Resolves Apr 30, 2027
    Total Volume

    $87.7M

    +$873.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    36

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Jordan Bardella

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Gabriel Attal

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 6¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    36 markets · Showing 8
    #
    124¢24¢50¢
    $990.4K+$10.4K 24h
    +1¢
    217¢17¢80¢
    $819.9K+$8.7K 24h
    313¢13¢76¢
    $650.6K+$3.9K 24h
    4
    $1.5M+$21.7K 24h
    +2¢
    🔥
    569¢
    $641.1K+$9.7K 24h
    -1¢
    🔥
    6
    $1.3M+$6.7K 24h
    7
    $1.1M+$5.2K 24h
    8
    $1.2M+$7.8K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Jordan Bardella
    24%
    24¢+1¢
    2Édouard Philippe
    17%
    17¢
    3Jean-Luc Mélenchon
    13%
    13¢
    4Gabriel Attal
    +2¢
    5Marine Le Pen
    -1¢
    6Sébastien Lecornu
    7Gérald Darmanin
    8Bernard Cazeneuve
    9François Bayrou

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 30, 2027

    ~332 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    36
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $87.7M
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $99K No on Mathilde Panot

    polymarket · 23 days ago

    Whale

    bought $48K No on Mathilde Panot

    polymarket · 23 days ago

    Whale

    bought $13K No on Carole Delga

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 40.7% in 24h

      Gabriel Attal · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.3% in 24h

      Marine Le Pen · Polymarket

    • DivergenceJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 14¢ on outcome probability

      Marine Le Pen · PredictIt, Polymarket

    • DivergenceJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 41¢ on outcome probability

      Gabriel Attal · Polymarket, PredictIt

    • Price MoveJun 2, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.0% in 24h

      François Hollande · Polymarket