Next Premier of Victoria — Warren Pickering

3% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes3%▼ 2

Buy Yes5¢6¢ after fees

No97%▲ 2

Buy No99¢100¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 28, 2026
Volume: $3.6K
24h: $104
Liquidity: $10.7K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes3%▼ 25¢5¢

5¢6¢ after fees

No97%▲ 299¢99¢

99¢100¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.18¢/contract

Kalshiat 5¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Warren Pickering is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Premier of Victoria
Resolves: Sat, November 28, 2026