International

    Next Premier of Victoria

    Jess Wilson leads by 88 pts

    1. Jess Wilson#192%
    2. Ben Carroll#24%
    3. Warren Pickering#33%
    #4 Gabrielle Williams2%#5 Danny O'Brien2%+10 more
    Resolves
    Nov 28, 2026
    Volume
    $47.8K
    24h
    $502
    Liquidity
    $180.6K
    Candidates
    15
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 15 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jess Wilson92%
    • Ben Carroll4%
    • Warren Pickering3%
    • Gabrielle Williams2%
    • Danny O'Brien2%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Ben Carroll24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Gabrielle Williams24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Jess Wilson$13.4K vol92%▼ 1kalshi94¢95¢ after fees
    Ben Carroll$9.8K vol4%▼ 4kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Warren Pickering$3.6K vol3%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Gabrielle Williams$1.0K vol2%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee
    Danny O'Brien$5.1K vol2%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Ellen Sandell$3.3K vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Sonya Kilkenny$1.5K vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee
    Jacinta Allan$995 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    David Southwick$950 vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    Steve Dimopoulos$547 vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Danny O'Brien3¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, November 28, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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