Next Secretary-General of the UN? — Viktor Orbán

5% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes5%▼ 2

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No95%▲ 2

Buy No94¢95¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 30, 2026
Volume: $15.7K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.7K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes5%▼ 27¢5¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No95%▲ 294¢99¢

94¢95¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.19¢/contract

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Viktor Orbán is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-Gener…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Secretary-General of the UN?
Resolves: Wed, December 30, 2026