Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Who will Trump pardon before 2027?. Best Yes near 9¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 9¢ · Best No: 84¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 18¢ / No 84¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 9¢ / No 91¢

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Volume

    $122.3K

    $810 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days left

    Arbitrage

    +6.8¢

    Spread detected

    CHANCE OF YES10%90%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    84¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    9¢
    No
    91¢
    Vol
    $81.5K
    $162 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KalshiKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    18¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $40.8K
    $648 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~1.03¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 9¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +6.8¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In