Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
- Sam Bankman-Fried: Yes 9¢ (polymarket)
- Ghislaine Maxwell: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
- Steve Bannon: Yes 16¢ (kalshi)
- Edward Snowden: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Roger Ver: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Elizabeth Holmes: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Derek Chauvin: Yes 7¢ (kalshi)
- Bob Menendez: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
- Eric Adams: Yes 9¢ (kalshi)
- Nicolás Maduro: Yes 7¢ (polymarket)
- Julian Assange: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
- Keonne Rodriguez: Yes 26¢ (kalshi)
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
$493.4K
+$1.9K (24h)
46
Across 2 platforms
48¢
Donald Brodie
-45¢
Stefan Brodie
1
Best gross: 6.8¢ / $1 pair
All Markets
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48¢ | — | 63¢ | $15 | -29¢ | — | |
| 2 | 47¢ | — | 77¢ | $14 | -40¢ | — | |
| 3 | 43¢ | — | 72¢ | $37 | -32¢ | — | |
| 4 | 40¢ | — | 65¢ | $290 | -30¢ | — | |
| 5 | 38¢ | — | 52¢ | $105+$89 24h | -45¢ | — | |
| 6 |  John Kiriakou📈 Trending | 28¢ | 29¢ | — | $20.2K+$122 24h | +1¢ | — |
| 7 | 27¢ | 30¢ | — | $164 | -5¢ | — | |
| 8 | 26¢ | 26¢ | 40¢ | $9.4K | -7¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
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