Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027

    14% chance · down 7 pts today

    Yes14%▼ 7kalshiYes19¢21¢ after fees
    No86%▲ 7kalshiNo91¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $210.7K
    24h
    $41
    Liquidity
    $14.9K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Yes24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes14%▼ 7kalshi19¢21¢ after fees
    No86%▲ 7kalshi91¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 19¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Donald Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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