When will the House impeach Trump? — Before Jul 1, 2027

36% chance

Yes36%

Buy Yes38¢40¢ after fees

No64%

Buy No63¢65¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $115.1K
24h: $798
Liquidity: $50.9K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes36%—38¢35¢

38¢40¢ after fees

No64%—63¢66¢

63¢65¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 35¢: exit costs ~0.91¢/contract

Kalshiat 38¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resoluti…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: When will the House impeach Trump?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027