When will the House impeach Trump?

    Before Jan 1, 2028 leads by 6 pts · 14 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Jan 1, 2028#162%
    2. December 31, 2027#256%
    3. Before Oct 1, 2027#351%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
    Volume
    $6.5M
    24h
    $65.7K
    Liquidity
    $199.4K
    Candidates
    17
    kalshipredictitPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3 venues · 17 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Jan 1, 202862%
    • December 31, 202756%
    • Before Oct 1, 202751%
    • Before Aug 1, 202744%
    • Before Jul 1, 202736%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Not by 1/20/2924h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hpredictit
    2. 1/1/27 - 6/30/2724h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hpredictit

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before Jan 1, 2028$1.5M vol62%▲ 2kalshi62¢64¢ after fees
    December 31, 2027$66.5K vol56%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US56¢57¢ after fees
    Before Oct 1, 2027$58.9K vol51%—kalshi51¢53¢ after fees
    Before Aug 1, 2027$77.1K vol44%▲ 1kalshi44¢46¢ after fees
    Before Jul 1, 2027$114.8K vol36%—kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    1/1/27 - 6/30/27$0 vol35%▼ 5predictit38¢44¢ after fees
    Before Jun 1, 2027$45.7K vol31%—kalshi31¢33¢ after fees
    Before May 1, 2027$60.2K vol26%▼ 1kalshi26¢28¢ after fees
    7/1/27 - 12/31/27$0 vol22%▼ 2predictit23¢31¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2027$81.6K vol20%▼ 1kalshi20¢22¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before Jul 1, 20272¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    When will the House impeach Trump again?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resoluti…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    When will the House impeach Trump again?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshipredictitPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 3 venues

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