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    Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

    Volume

    $33.4M

    $25.1K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES7%93%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    94¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $33.4M
    $25.1K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2812¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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