Tom Steyer

    Volume

    $6.4M

    $65.5K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~154 days left

    Category

    Politics

    16¢CHANCE OF YES16%84%
    Yes-5¢
    16¢
    Polymarket
    No+5¢
    84¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    16¢
    No
    85¢
    Vol
    $3.5M
    $49.1K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    17¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $2.9M
    $22.2K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Yes
    19¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2810¢17¢24¢36¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 16¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 17¢: exit costs ~0.99¢/contract
    IPredictItat 19¢: exit costs ~1.9¢/contract
    Full calculator

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