Golden Globes 2027: Best Actor – Musical or Comedy Winner — Tom Cruise

    12% chance · down 4 pts today

    Yes12%▼ 4kalshiYes16¢17¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 4kalshiNo92¢93¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $9.6K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $249
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Yes24h
      6¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%▼ 4kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 4kalshi92¢93¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 22¢: exit costs ~0.86¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Tom Cruise wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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