Celebrities

    Golden Globes 2027: Best Actor – Musical or Comedy Winner

    John Malkovich leads by 60 pts · 9 outcomes at 5%+

    1. John Malkovich#172%
    2. Tom Cruise#212%
    3. Ryan Gosling#38%
    #4 Jordan Firstman7%#5 Brad Pitt7%+9 more
    Resolves
    Jan 10, 2027
    Volume
    $62.0K
    24h
    $375
    Liquidity
    $7.0K
    Outcomes
    14
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 14 markets

    Who’s winning

    • John Malkovich72%
    • Tom Cruise12%
    • Ryan Gosling8%
    • Jordan Firstman7%
    • Brad Pitt7%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Ryan Gosling24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. John Malkovich24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Seth Rogen24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24h
    4. John Malkovich24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    John Malkovich$17.8K vol · 8¢ apart72%▼ 5kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Tom Cruise$9.6K vol12%▼ 2kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Ryan Gosling$3.4K vol8%▼ 6kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Jordan Firstman$2.7K vol7%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Brad Pitt$3.4K vol7%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Robert Pattinson$2.7K vol6%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Seth Rogen$3.5K vol6%▼ 5kalshi11¢12¢ after fees
    Dominic Sessa$2.7K vol5%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Pedro Pascal$2.7K vol5%▼ 1kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Anthony Ippolito$4.6K vol5%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • John Malkovich8¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If John Malkovich wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by Dick Clark Productions. For the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 7, 2026, and the ceremony for January 10, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Annual Golden Globe Awards. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated person whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 10, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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