Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner — Thomas Aeschi

    20% chance · down 4 pts today

    Yes20%▼ 4kalshiYes33¢35¢ after fees
    No80%▲ 4kalshiNo85¢86¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $2.0K
    24h
    $1
    Liquidity
    $229
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Yes24h
      11¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes20%▼ 4kalshi33¢35¢ after fees
    No81%▲ 4kalshi85¢86¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 22¢: exit costs ~0.69¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 33¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Thomas Aeschi wins the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether t…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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