Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...? — No release by November 30

53% chance

Yes53%

Buy Yes53¢54¢ after fees

No47%

Buy No48¢49¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $33.6K
24h: $4.3K
Liquidity: $4.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes53%—53¢

53¢54¢ after fees

No48%—48¢

48¢49¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 53¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or highe…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026