Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?

Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? — No release by December 31

69% chance

Yes69%

Buy Yes69¢70¢ after fees

No31%

Buy No32¢33¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $1.4K
24h: $1.4K
Liquidity: $427

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes69%—69¢

69¢70¢ after fees

No31%—32¢

32¢33¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 69¢: exit costs ~0.86¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Carbon" and be designated as version 4.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.1 or higher named i…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026