How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15? — ≤6

65% chance

Yes65%

Buy Yes67¢68¢ after fees

No35%

Buy No37¢38¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 15, 2026
Volume: $6.0K
24h: $1.7K
Liquidity: $1.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes65%—67¢

67¢68¢ after fees

No35%—37¢

37¢38¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 67¢: exit costs ~1.11¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between November 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this mar…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?
Resolves: Sun, November 15, 2026