How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

    ≤6 leads by 49 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+

    1. ≤6#165%
    2. 7#216%
    3. 8#312%
    Resolves
    Nov 15, 2026
    Volume
    $10.9K
    24h
    $3.4K
    Outcomes
    9
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • ≤665%
    • 716%
    • 812%
    • 96%
    • 113%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 1324h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 1024h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. ≤624h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    ≤6$6.0K vol65%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US67¢68¢ after fees
    7$1.9K vol16%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢18¢ after fees
    8$2.2K vol12%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢14¢ after fees
    9$206 vol6%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    11$65 vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢6¢ after fees
    10$54 vol3%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢5¢ after fees
    more than 13$261 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    12$66 vol1%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    13$68 vol1%▼ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, November 15, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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