U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026? — 5–15%

91% chance

Yes91%

Buy Yes92¢no fee

No9%

Buy No10¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 30, 2026
Volume: $6.0K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $13.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes91%—92¢

92¢no fee

No9%—10¢

10¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 92¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 10% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 20% tariff). I…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
Resolves: Wed, December 30, 2026