International

    U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

    5–15% leads by 83 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. 5–15%#191%
    2. 15–25%#28%
    3. <5%#32%
    #4 35%+1%#5 25–35%1%
    Resolves
    Dec 30, 2026
    Volume
    $14.0K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 5–15%91%
    • 15–25%8%
    • <5%2%
    • 35%+1%
    • 25–35%1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    5–15%$6.0K vol91%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢no fee
    15–25%$2.8K vol8%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee
    <5%$1.8K vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee
    35%+$2.0K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee
    25–35%$1.4K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, December 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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