Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$33.6M
$259.3K 24h
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Resolves Dec 31, 2026
~212 days left
Politics
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About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
How This Resolves
Source: AP or official government declaration
Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.
Market Quality
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Market Details
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