Which companies will the US take a stake in?

    TikTok US / Bytedance

    Which companies will the US take a stake in?. Best Yes near 5¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 5¢ · Best No: 92¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 5¢ / No 98¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 11¢ / No 92¢

    TikTok US / Bytedance

    Volume

    $15.4K

    $233 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days left

    Category

    Economics

    CHANCE OF YES5%95%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    92¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    11¢
    No
    92¢
    Vol
    $9.3K
    $233 24h
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    5¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $6.1K

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 11¢: exit costs ~0.69¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left128 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In