Which companies will the US take a stake in?

    Which companies will the US take a stake in? Live odds across 23 markets: GlobalFoundries at 89¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which companies will the US take a stake in?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $1.3M

    +$7.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    23

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    89¢

    GlobalFoundries

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    D-Wave

    Arb Opportunities

    3

    Best gross: 4¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    23 markets · Showing 23
    #
    189¢89¢89¢
    $35.9K+$323 24h
    -2¢
    2
    D-Wave📈 Trending
    80¢81¢73¢
    $43.3K+$90 24h
    -4¢
    376¢76¢82¢
    $73.1K+$2 24h
    -3¢
    438¢38¢
    $5.3K+$23 24h
    -4¢
    537¢37¢37¢
    $4.7K+$5 24h
    -2¢
    634¢34¢
    $7.3K
    -2¢
    724¢25¢19¢
    $197.2K+$420 24h
    -1¢
    3¢
    818¢18¢13¢
    $70.1K+$39 24h
    -4¢
    2¢
    916¢14¢18¢
    $31.4K+$20 24h
    -1¢
    3¢
    1016¢16¢11¢
    $101.1K+$15 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    1114¢14¢20¢
    $94.9K+$5.5K 24h
    -3¢
    3¢
    1213¢13¢14¢
    $83.7K+$224 24h
    -1¢
    13
    TSMC📈 Trending
    13¢13¢10¢
    $39.1K+$396 24h
    -3¢
    1¢
    1410¢10¢
    $15.4K+$233 24h
    -1¢
    3¢
    15
    $58.3K+$13 24h
    -1¢
    16
    Micron Hot
    16¢
    $26.6K+$15 24h
    -1¢
    4¢🔥
    1710¢
    $35.4K
    -1¢
    18
    $18
    -2¢
    19
    $11.4K
    -1¢
    20
    $12.5K
    -1¢
    21
    $296.8K+$158 24h
    22
    $16.1K
    -1¢
    1¢
    23
    $10.2K+$25 24h
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1GlobalFoundries
    89%
    89¢-2¢
    2D-Wave
    80%
    80¢-4¢
    3Rigetti
    76%
    76¢-3¢
    4Unusual Machines
    37%
    37¢-2¢
    5Anduril
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    6Nvidia
    18%
    18¢-4¢
    7IonQ
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    8Anthropic
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    9OpenAI
    14%
    14¢-3¢
    10Palantir
    13%
    13¢-1¢
    11TSMC
    13%
    13¢-3¢
    12TikTok US / Bytedance
    10¢-1¢
    13Lockheed Martin
    -1¢
    14Micron
    -1¢
    15Boeing
    -1¢
    16Freeport-McMoRan
    -1¢
    17Eli Lilly
    -1¢
    18Pfizer
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~129 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    23
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $1.3M
    Arb Opportunities
    3

    Whale Activity

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