Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Which companies will the US take a stake in? Live odds across 23 markets: GlobalFoundries at 89¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
- OpenAI: Yes 15¢ (kalshi)
- Anduril: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
- TSMC: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- GlobalFoundries: Yes 89¢ (polymarket)
- TikTok US / Bytedance: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
- Palantir: Yes 14¢ (kalshi)
- D-Wave: Yes 84¢ (polymarket)
- Nvidia: Yes 14¢ (polymarket)
- IonQ: Yes 14¢ (kalshi)
- Micron: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- Anthropic: Yes 13¢ (polymarket)
- Lockheed Martin: Yes 10¢ (kalshi)
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
$1.3M
+$7.5K (24h)
23
Across 2 platforms
89¢
GlobalFoundries
-4¢
D-Wave
3
Best gross: 4¢ / $1 pair
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