TRADING OPEN

    Which companies will the US take a stake in?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $1.5M

    +$1.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    37¢

    Unusual Machines

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +3¢

    TSMC

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 open
    #
    137¢33¢39¢
    $12.2K+$113 24h
    -1¢—
    226¢26¢26¢
    $255.1K+$322 24h
    -2¢—
    320¢20¢—
    $9.1K
    -1¢—
    415¢12¢17¢
    $48.0K+$611 24h
    +3¢—
    511¢11¢—
    $7.3K
    -3¢—
    611¢11¢12¢
    $20.2K+$5 24h
    -1¢—
    79¢9¢12¢
    $107.1K+$37 24h
    -1¢
    1¢
    89¢8¢9¢
    $36.8K
    -1¢—
    98¢8¢9¢
    $88.6K+$108 24h
    ——
    108¢8¢7¢
    $32.5K+$5 24h
    -3¢—
    11
    Nvidia📈 Trending
    8¢7¢9¢
    $78.1K+$42 24h
    -1¢—
    12
    Lockheed Martin📈 Trending
    8¢8¢9¢
    $64.4K+$371 24h
    -1¢—
    138¢7¢8¢
    $12.9K
    -1¢—
    148¢—8¢
    $256
    -1¢—
    157¢—7¢
    $6.6K+$114 24h
    +1¢—
    167¢6¢8¢
    $41.6K
    -2¢—
    176¢6¢—
    $10.6K+$8 24h
    ——
    18
    Pfizer Hot
    5¢6¢5¢
    $18.9K+$20 24h
    ——
    193¢—3¢
    $10.4K
    -2¢—
    203¢3¢—
    $310.2K+$170 24h
    ——
    213¢8¢3¢
    $108.1K+$20 24h
    -3¢
    1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Unusual Machines
    37%
    37¢-1¢
    2Anduril
    26%
    26¢-2¢
    3TSMC
    15%
    15¢+3¢
    4Eli Lilly
    11¢-1¢
    5OpenAI
    9¢-1¢
    6IonQ
    9¢-1¢
    7Palantir
    8¢—
    8Micron
    8¢-3¢
    9Nvidia
    8¢-1¢
    10Lockheed Martin
    8¢-1¢
    11Freeport-McMoRan
    8¢-1¢
    12Boeing
    7¢-2¢
    13Pfizer
    5¢—
    14Anthropic
    3¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    24
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $1.5M

    Whale Activity

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