Which companies will the US take a stake in? — Anduril

    Volume

    $255.1K

    $322 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days left

    Category

    Economics

    26¢CHANCE OF YES25%75%
    Yes
    26¢
    Kalshi
    No
    76¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    26¢
    No
    76¢
    Vol
    $200.7K
    $302 24h
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    28¢
    No
    76¢
    Vol
    $54.5K
    $20 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 28¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 26¢: exit costs ~1.35¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left72 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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