2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner — Republican Party

    12% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes12%▼ 2kalshiYes16¢17¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 2Polymarket USNo81¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Nov 3, 2027
    Volume
    $105
    24h
    $29
    Liquidity
    $11.1K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%▼ 2kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 2Polymarket US81¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 13¢: exit costs ~0.45¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 20¢: Fees unavailable
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the person sworn in to the Class I Senate seat of Minnesota pursuant to the November 2, 2027 election is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the party of the winner of the 2027 Minnesota U.S. Senate special election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. For the purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL) counts as the Democratic Party. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Gr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, November 3, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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