2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner

    Democratic party leads by 76 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Democratic party#188%
    2. Republican party#212%
    Resolves
    Nov 16, 2027
    Volume
    $6.2K
    24h
    $40
    Liquidity
    $27.7K
    Candidates
    2
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Democratic party88%
    • Republican party12%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Democratic party24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Democratic party24h
      32¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi
    3. Republican party24h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Democratic party$6.1K vol · 32¢ apart88%▼ 4Polymarket US61¢fee unknown
    Republican party$105 vol · 7¢ apart12%▼ 2kalshi16¢17¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the person sworn in to the Class I Senate seat of Minnesota pursuant to the November 2, 2027 election is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the party of the winner of the 2027 Minnesota U.S. Senate special election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. For the purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL) counts as the Democratic Party. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Gr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the party of the winner of the 2027 Minnesota U.S. Senate special election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. For the purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL) counts as the Democratic Party. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democratic Party” or “Republican Party” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the winner of this election cannot be determined by March 31, 2028, it will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 16, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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