Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? — November 24

    32% chance

    Yes32%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes59¢no fee
    No68%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo95¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 24, 2026
    Volume
    $409
    24h
    $4
    Liquidity
    $1.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes32%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US59¢no fee
    No68%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US95¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.8 or higher named in the same manner as G…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, November 24, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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