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    Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?

    No release by November 30 leads by 20 pts · 5 outcomes at 5%+

    1. No release by November 30#136%
    2. November 20#216%
    3. November 19#313%
    #4 November 268%#5 November 247%+16 more
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $16.1K
    24h
    $228
    Outcomes
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 32 markets

    Who’s winning

    • No release by November 3036%
    • November 2016%
    • November 1913%
    • November 268%
    • November 247%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. November 1724h
      ▼ 33¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. November 2424h
      ▼ 15¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. November 2024h
      ▼ 14¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    No release by November 30$3.3K vol36%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US37¢no fee
    November 20$800 vol16%▼ 14Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢no fee
    November 19$460 vol13%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢no fee
    November 26$1.6K vol8%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢no fee
    November 24$385 vol7%▼ 15Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    November 27$397 vol5%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢no fee
    November 14$311 vol5%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee
    November 18$320 vol5%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢no fee
    November 16$326 vol4%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee
    November 17$413 vol3%▼ 33Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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