Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31? — Netherlands

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes6¢no fee

No95%

Buy No96¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $16.5K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $18.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—6¢

6¢no fee

No95%—96¢

96¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or suppor…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026