When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

When will the Danube River return to normal levels? — Does not return by January 1, 2027

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $3.2K
24h: $318
Liquidity: $2.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—6¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No96%—99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0.3¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines "normal…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027