Weather

    When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

    December 1 - 15, 2026 leads by 5 pts

    1. December 1 - 15, 2026#19%
    2. Does not return by January 1, 2027#24%
    3. December 16 - 31, 2026#31%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $14.5K
    24h
    $4.5K
    Outcomes
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 1 - 15, 20269%
    • Does not return by January 1, 20274%
    • December 16 - 31, 20261%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. December 16 - 31, 202624h
      ▼ 44¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. December 1 - 15, 202624h
      ▼ 27¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Does not return by January 1, 202724h
      ▼ 27¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 1 - 15, 2026$1.2K vol9%▼ 27Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢18¢ after fees
    Does not return by January 1, 2027$3.2K vol4%▼ 27Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢7¢ after fees
    December 16 - 31, 2026$1.4K vol1%▼ 44Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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