How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October? — 5.35% or above

    Volume

    $2.5K

    $9 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days left

    Category

    Economics

    5¢CHANCE OF YES5%95%
    Yes
    5¢
    Kalshi
    No
    98¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    6¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $1.6K
    $9 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    5¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $950

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 5¢: exit costs ~0.33¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 31, 2026
    Time Left11 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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