TRADING OPEN

    How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $48.6K

    +$491 (24h)

    Active Markets

    33

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    5.08%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -62¢

    5.07% or above

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    33 markets
    #
    132¢25¢32¢
    $7.0K+$120 24h
    -24¢—
    225¢25¢—
    $2.6K
    -62¢—
    323¢23¢—
    $2.1K
    -23¢—
    422¢22¢—
    $1.7K
    -23¢—
    522¢16¢22¢
    $2.7K+$80 24h
    +5¢—
    622¢21¢22¢
    $6.4K+$62 24h
    -6¢—
    718¢18¢—
    $2.6K
    -18¢—
    817¢17¢—
    $513
    -17¢—
    915¢15¢—
    $1.9K
    -15¢—
    1014¢14¢—
    $483
    -15¢—
    1113¢13¢13¢
    $1.9K+$47 24h
    -2¢—
    1213¢13¢—
    $9
    -13¢—
    1312¢12¢—
    $300
    -13¢—
    1410¢10¢—
    $600
    -12¢—
    159¢9¢—
    $578
    -9¢—
    168¢—8¢
    $3.2K+$66 24h
    -28¢—
    178¢8¢—
    $122
    -9¢—
    188¢8¢—
    $301
    -9¢—
    198¢8¢—
    $450
    -9¢—
    208¢8¢—
    $101+$102 24h
    -5¢—
    218¢8¢—
    $368
    -8¢—
    228¢8¢—
    $300
    -8¢—
    238¢8¢—
    $0
    -8¢—
    247¢8¢7¢
    $3.2K
    -8¢—
    257¢7¢—
    $0
    -7¢—
    267¢7¢—
    $0
    -7¢—
    277¢7¢—
    $1.0K
    -6¢—
    286¢—6¢
    $2.0K+$5 24h
    -2¢—
    296¢6¢—
    $352
    -4¢—
    305¢—5¢
    $50
    -4¢—
    315¢5¢—
    $157
    -5¢—
    324¢4¢—
    $3.2K
    -4¢—
    333¢3¢3¢
    $2.5K+$9 24h
    -3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    15.08%
    32%
    32¢-24¢
    25.14% or above
    22%
    22¢+5¢
    35.11%
    22%
    22¢-6¢
    45.17% or above
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    55.25%
    7¢-8¢
    65.35% or above
    3¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    33
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $48.6K

    Whale Activity

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