TRADING OPEN
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October? — 4.88% or below
Volume
$1.4K
$183 24h
Platforms
2
Cross-platform pricing
Resolution
Resolves Oct 31, 2026
~11 days left
Category
Economics
Yes
63¢
Kalshi
No
43¢
Polymarket
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
2 platforms
Polymarket
Best No
Yes
65¢
No
43¢
Vol
$863
$133 24h
Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
Price History
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About This Market
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.89% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Fee Impact at These Prices
Kalshiat 63¢: exit costs ~1.63¢/contractPolymarketat 65¢: exit costs ~0¢/contractMarket Details
ResolutionResolves Oct 31, 2026
Time Left11 days
Status● Active
CategoryEconomics
Yes
63¢
Kalshi
Payout 1.6x
No
43¢
Polymarket
Payout 2.3x
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
2 platformsPolymarket
Best No
Yes
65¢
No
43¢
Vol
$863
$133 24h
Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
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