Steve Hilton

    Volume

    $4.8M

    $142.1K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~154 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes-1¢
    Polymarket
    No+1¢
    92¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    92¢
    Vol
    $3.2M
    $71.5K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $1.6M
    $74.1K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    IPredictIt
    Yes
    No
    93¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2813¢17¢

    About This Market

    If Steve Hilton is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 8¢: exit costs ~0.54¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    IPredictItat 8¢: exit costs ~0.8¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2026
    Time Left154 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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