How many SpaceX launches in 2026? — 140-159

56% chance

Yes56%

Buy Yes60¢61¢ after fees

No44%

Buy No48¢49¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $51.9K
24h: $497
Liquidity: $613

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes56%—60¢

60¢61¢ after fees

No44%—48¢

48¢49¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 60¢: exit costs ~0.96¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026