How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

    140-159 leads by 20 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. 140-159#156%
    2. 120-139#236%
    3. 180-199#35%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $342.0K
    24h
    $507
    Outcomes
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 140-15956%
    • 120-13936%
    • 180-1995%
    • 200 or more2%
    • 160-1791%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 120-13924h
      ▼ 38¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 140-15924h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. 180-19924h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    140-159$51.9K vol56%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US60¢61¢ after fees
    120-139$6.2K vol36%▼ 38Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US45¢46¢ after fees
    180-199$62.2K vol5%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢8¢ after fees
    200 or more$107.8K vol2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    160-179$104.2K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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