Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? — December 31

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes5¢5¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No96¢96¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $1.6M
24h: $659
Liquidity: $65.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—5¢

5¢5¢ after fees

No96%—96¢

96¢96¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito w…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026