Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

    Sam Raskin

    Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?. Best Yes near 23¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 23¢ · Best No: 96¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 36¢ / No 96¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 23¢ / No 86¢

    Sam Raskin

    Volume

    $3.6K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Aug 15, 2026

    ~61 days left

    Category

    Culture

    23¢CHANCE OF YES19%81%
    Yes
    23¢
    Kalshi
    No
    96¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    36¢
    No
    96¢
    Vol
    $2.6K
    Trade on Polymarket
    KalshiKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    23¢
    No
    86¢
    Vol
    $956
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 36¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 23¢: exit costs ~1.25¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Aug 15, 2026
    Time Left61 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

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